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The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 558
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
135 PM EST SUN NOV 23 2014
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST ALABAMA
THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
SOUTHWEST GEORGIA
COASTAL WATERS
* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 135 PM UNTIL
800 PM EST.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
DOTHAN ALABAMA TO 25 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF MOULTRIE GEORGIA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
DISCUSSION...THE WARM FRONT CONTINUES TO PROGRESS INLAND IN ADVANCE
OF A PRE-FRONTAL BAND OF STORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN EJECTING MIDLEVEL
TROUGH. THOUGH LAPSE RATES ARE NOT PARTICULARLY STEEP...BOUNDARY
LAYER DEWPOINTS IN THE 68-70 F RANGE WILL SUPPORT SURFACE-BASED
BUOYANCY IN THE WARM SECTOR. VERTICAL SHEAR WILL BE STRONGEST ALONG
THE WARM FRONT...WHERE THE RISK FOR A COUPLE OF TORNADOES WILL BE
FOCUSED. OTHERWISE...AN ISOLATED TORNADO AND A FEW DAMAGING GUSTS
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE BAND OF STORMS FARTHER TO THE S INTO THE
FL PANHANDLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
...THOMPSON
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 558 TORNADO AL FL GA CW 231835Z - 240100Z
AXIS..90 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
50WSW DHN/DOTHAN AL/ - 25ESE MGR/MOULTRIE GA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 80NM N/S /26ENE CEW - 55ENE TLH/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..0.5 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
LAT...LON 32348623 32248341 29638341 29738623
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 558 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 558
VALID 232240Z - 232340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 E AAF TO
15 ENE MGR TO 35 S MCN.
..GRAMS..11/23/14
ATTN...WFO...BMX...TAE...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 558
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC065-079-123-232340-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JEFFERSON MADISON TAYLOR
$$
GAC017-019-023-027-075-091-155-173-175-185-235-271-277-289-309-
315-319-232340-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEN HILL BERRIEN BLECKLEY
BROOKS COOK DODGE
IRWIN LANIER LAURENS
LOWNDES PULASKI TELFAIR
TIFT TWIGGS WHEELER
WILCOX WILKINSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 558
VALID 232150Z - 232240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ESE AAF
TO 5 ENE TLH TO 15 ENE ABY TO 40 SW MCN.
..COHEN..11/23/14
ATTN...WFO...BMX...TAE...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 558
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC065-079-123-232240-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JEFFERSON MADISON TAYLOR
$$
GAC017-019-021-023-027-071-075-079-081-091-093-153-155-173-175-
185-193-225-235-263-269-271-275-277-287-289-293-309-315-319-321-
232240-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEN HILL BERRIEN BIBB
BLECKLEY BROOKS COLQUITT
COOK CRAWFORD CRISP
DODGE DOOLY HOUSTON
IRWIN LANIER LAURENS
LOWNDES MACON PEACH
PULASKI TALBOT TAYLOR
TELFAIR THOMAS TIFT
TURNER TWIGGS UPSON
WHEELER WILCOX WILKINSON
WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 558
VALID 232045Z - 232140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 W AAF TO
20 S DHN TO 20 ENE MGM.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1943
..COHEN..11/23/14
ATTN...WFO...BMX...TAE...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 558
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC005-081-087-113-232140-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBOUR LEE MACON
RUSSELL
$$
FLC037-039-065-073-077-079-123-129-232140-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FRANKLIN GADSDEN JEFFERSON
LEON LIBERTY MADISON
TAYLOR WAKULLA
$$
GAC007-017-019-027-037-053-061-071-075-081-087-093-095-099-131-
155-173-177-185-193-197-201-205-215-235-239-243-249-253-259-261-
273-275-277-287-307-315-321-232140-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER BEN HILL BERRIEN
BROOKS CALHOUN CHATTAHOOCHEE
CLAY COLQUITT COOK
CRISP DECATUR DOOLY
DOUGHERTY EARLY GRADY
IRWIN LANIER LEE
LOWNDES MACON MARION
MILLER MITCHELL MUSCOGEE
PULASKI QUITMAN RANDOLPH
SCHLEY SEMINOLE STEWART
SUMTER TERRELL THOMAS
TIFT TURNER WEBSTER
WILCOX WORTH
$$
GMZ755-232140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 558
VALID 231925Z - 232040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 W AAF TO
20 WNW MAI TO 10 NE MGM.
..COHEN..11/23/14
ATTN...WFO...BMX...TAE...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 558
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC005-011-045-067-069-081-087-101-113-232040-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBOUR BULLOCK DALE
HENRY HOUSTON LEE
MACON MONTGOMERY RUSSELL
$$
FLC005-013-037-039-045-063-065-073-077-079-123-129-133-232040-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN FRANKLIN
GADSDEN GULF JACKSON
JEFFERSON LEON LIBERTY
MADISON TAYLOR WAKULLA
WASHINGTON
$$
GAC007-017-019-027-037-053-061-071-075-081-087-093-095-099-131-
155-173-177-185-193-197-201-205-215-235-239-243-249-253-259-261-
273-275-277-287-307-315-321-232040-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER BEN HILL BERRIEN
BROOKS CALHOUN CHATTAHOOCHEE
CLAY COLQUITT COOK
CRISP DECATUR DOOLY
DOUGHERTY EARLY GRADY
IRWIN LANIER LEE
LOWNDES MACON MARION
MILLER MITCHELL MUSCOGEE
PULASKI QUITMAN RANDOLPH
SCHLEY SEMINOLE STEWART
SUMTER TERRELL THOMAS
TIFT TURNER WEBSTER
WILCOX WORTH
$$
GMZ750-755-232040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.